Asian stock markets were mixed and muted Wednesday, opening higher as oil issues drove higher on strong crude prices, and as property stocks built on profit expectations. But markets turned cautious in afternoon trading in front of the pending US Federal Reserve Board rate announcement. Hong Kong and Shanghai finished in the red, Tokyo was closed on holiday, and other regional exchanges were uneven.
The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index fell 135.41, or 0.43%, to 31,414.52, as losing issues outnumbered gainers 25 to 23.
Leading the upside were China Resources Land (1109:HK), up 5.3%, followed by China Overseas Land (688:HK), up 4.3%, and then PetroChina (857:HK), up 2.4%.
Watching the signals for Boral Ltd (BLD.AX), we have noted that the Chaikin Oscillator is below zero. Traders may be watching for possible bearish momentum on the stock.
Many investors pay close attention to historical price movements when analyzing stocks. They may also take a deeper look into which sectors have been the best performers over the same time frame. Everyone seems to have an opinion on which way the market will move in the near-term. With the stock market still moving higher, many stock picks may still look really good. Reviewing specific stocks in the portfolio may help scout out the ones that may only be higher because of overall market levels. Predicting the next market shift is usually near impossible. Having the right stocks in the portfolio can help ease the investor’s mind no matter what the next few months brings in terms of volatility.
The Average Directional Index or ADX is technical analysis indicator used to discern if a market is trending or not trending. The ADX alone measures trend strength but not direction. Using the ADX with the Plus Directional Indicator (+DI) and Minus Directional Indicator (-DI) may help determine the direction of the trend as well as the overall momentum. Many traders will use the ADX alongside other indicators in order to help spot proper trading entry/exit points. Currently, the 14-day ADX for Boral Ltd (BLD.AX) is 12.46. Generally speaking, an ADX value from 0-25 would indicate an absent or weak trend. A value of 25-50 would indicate a strong trend. A value of 50-75 would signal a very strong trend, and a value of 75-100 would indicate an extremely strong trend.
When applying indicators for technical analysis, traders and investors might want to look at the ATR or Average True Range. The current 14-day ATR for Boral Ltd (BLD.AX) is currently sitting at 0.12. The ATR basically measures the volatility of a stock on a day-to-day basis. The average true range is typically based on 14 periods and may be calculated daily, weekly, monthly, or intraday. The ATR is not considered a directional indicator, but it may reflect the strength of a particular move.
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When performing stock analysis, investors and traders may opt to view technical levels. Boral Ltd (BLD.AX) presently has a 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of -103.28. Investors and traders may use this indicator to help spot price reversals, price extremes, and the strength of a trend. Many investors will use the CCI in conjunction with other indicators when evaluating a trade. The CCI may be used to spot if a stock is entering overbought (+100) and oversold (-100) territory.
Shares of Boral Ltd (BLD.AX) have a 200-day moving average of 5.87. The 50-day is 4.92, and the 7-day is sitting at 4.92. Using a bigger time frame to assess the moving average such as the 200-day, may help block out the noise and chaos that is often caused by daily price fluctuations. In some cases, MA’s may be used as strong reference points for spotting support and resistance levels.
Checking in on some other technical levels, the 14-day RSI is currently at 47.92, the 7-day stands at 44.99, and the 3-day is sitting at 40.75. Many investors look to the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading of a particular stock to help identify overbought/oversold conditions. The RSI was developed by J. Welles Wilder in the late 1970’s. Wilder laid out the foundation for future technical analysts to further investigate the RSI and its relationship to underlying price movements. Since its inception, RSI has remained very popular with traders and investors. Other technical analysts have built upon the work of Wilder. The 14-day RSI is still a widely popular choice among technical stock analysts.
New investors may be trying to figure out the best way to build a solid foundation with which to make future investing decisions. There are many different paths that an investor can take once they become familiar with the territory. Some investors will choose to study professional analyst research and recommendations. This can be very useful, but many investors may feel more comfortable doing their own research. Conducting stock research may involve looking at the fundamentals of a certain company. Understanding what kind of competitive advantage a company might have compared to others in their industry may help weed out some of the more undesirable stocks. Because there is no one way to properly conduct stock research, investors may need to try a few different methods in order to determine the best individual course of action.
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